can be expected. Why? Cambridge Coincidences Collection We had the same hair colour, hairstyle and eye colour; very similar facial features, facial expressions, body language, and laugh. some arithmetic shows that there would be around 1 million groups-of-3-cases with the same feature, I doubt that anyone could do a defensible quantitative analysis of this case, These particular numbers are made up, but make the point that an awful lot of "similar cases to the same judge" Coincidence: tell your coincidence story - and please include plenty of relevant detail (places, dates, numbers etc.) is. By recording your coincidence stories here, you can help him build a picture of what kinds of coincidences are out there and which ones seem to ‘get to’ us the most. if each case had merely one "unusual feature" which appeared in only 1 case in 400, then about Scientific publication synchronicity, about I know when people will die but at the same time i dont its weird, about COLLEGE ROOMMATE HAS THE SAME BIRTHDAY, about Unexpected Money Postal & Found on the street, about Random phone number was the right one, I know when people will die but at the same time i dont its weird, Unexpected Money Postal & Found on the street, Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 2.0 UK: England & Wales License. and more types of "very similar in an interesting way" than one would imagine. When I met my new flatmate for the first time, we were both in shock: our features were disturbingly similar. Cambridge Coincidences Collection Professor David Spiegelhalter of Cambridge University wants to know about your coincidences! Kidding, I asked, "Chuck, what's the number I'm looking for?" which never has a clear answer. All of the information entered below except your email address will be published on this website when you press save. specific coincidence, but there will be some By ticking this box you agree that your email address can be forwarded to Wingspan Productions Ltd, who are making a BBC television programme about Chance and would like to feature Professor David Spiegelhalter's coincidence collection. The rationalist position is simply that there are a gazillion Cambridge Coincidences Collection because there were effectively 17.5 judges (some part-time). Imagine looking at all those cases and looking to Months after, while cleaning out her home, we discovered a sheet from the International Red Cross declaring that her younger brother, who was unable to leave Germany before the war, had died on September 11, 1942. Several years later, completely coincidentally, I had become a clinical trials statistician myself. I was assigned a room in a shared flat. In doing so you agree that the producers of the programme may contact you directly to ask you more about your story, though whether you decide to help them is entirely up to you. My dad's dad died at 56 yrs old, my dad was 33 yrs old then Collection of Historical Coincidence, nephiliman.com (web.archive.org) Unlikely Events and Coincidence, Austin Society to Oppose Pseudoscience; Why coincidences happen, UnderstandingUncertainty.org; The Cambridge Coincidences Collection, University of Cambridge Statslab; The … Collections & Series Cambridge University Press publishes a wide range of high-quality and innovative digital collections, offering an invaluable resource for researchers around the globe. 1x my neighbor's cheque was sent to me. meet each other in two given consecutive years. Email address (optional): please leave an email address, as then we can get in touch to find out more! interest to an investigative journalist. In brief, when we observe something specific we can try to estimate the chance of this Yet most statisticians argue that unlikely occurrences happen frequently because there are so many opportunities for surprising events to happen. Spiegelhalter collects anecdotes of coincidences. In November 2003 I got on a plane flying from Heathrow to LAX, where I was to catch a separate flight form there to the Pacific island of Samoa. Please try to keep your story personal - about you or someone you know. About 10 seconds later I found the number I was looking for in the book and it was exactly - exactly - the number Chuck threw out there. we did not observe; identifying these "generic" similar coincidences raises the issue of - then please record your story in the form below! As the flight was long we struck up a conversation. Meeting someone you know in an unexpected place on a trip away from your home district -- not somewhere where either of you would usually be found. Here is the breakdown: Some fun emails stimulated by last week’s essay on loss aversion in sports and everyday life pointed me to statistician David Spiegelhalter's Cambridge Coincidence Collection, which contains people’s 4500+ reports of weird coincidences. The trial's results got accepted for publication in The Lancet in 2010. My son was 37 when he died and his son was 19 and I was 56. The Hebrew date of her birth was Erev Rosh Hashanah. This is some (small, I presume) number N, The only thing we'd ask you to steer clear of are premonitions or déjà vu, purely because - whilst fascinating - they're quite common and also difficult to analyse. I moved abroad for a study exchange. But what does this imply? is extremely difficult, and I will illustrate the issues in the examples below. “It’s chance,” says David Spiegelhalter, a risk researcher at the University of Cambridge. From the Cambridge English Corpus These examples are from the Cambridge English Corpus … Our first child was born September 16, 1974. My son was 19 when his dad died While being a maths graduate student I was enrolled (as a participant) in a phase-3 clinical trial in 2006. see where there is a group of 3 cases which are We were from Manson, Iowa. very-unlikely-but-possible coincidences that might happen but don't, is about \(1/17.5 \times 1/17.5 \approx 1/300 \) so lets start with my grandma on my dads side so basically i rarely visited her but i started thinking about her dying for a week straight and i had no idea why i mean i had dreams and visions everything and then this one day on the morning of school i had this dream she passed away and when i got home my stepmother said she had passed and we sat at the top of the stairs crying and my stepmom was like why are you crying im surprised you care about her that much and i just stared at her i couldn't tell her that i was crying because I knew my grandma was gonna die because i had these vision. Deadlines are always hairy in the newspaper business. Your coincidence stories can also help him explore the scientific explanations which may account for them – whether by doing the maths to calculate the chances of a coincidence, or speculating on the weird and wonderful workings of our brains. as this humorous tale I tell in talks demonstrates. Our mother died on September 11, 1995, which has since become a national day of mourning. In the last 6 weeks, stranger's credit cards and a cheque have unexpectedly been posted to my apartment and also, found in the public streets. Mills argues that it is more complicated than this; the power elite is a holy trinity of coincidences between apparently dissimilar organisation. The professor, who is, by coincidence, a colleague of my future mother-in-law, also runs the Cambridge Coincidences Collection as part of his Understanding Uncertainty project. "very similar" in some sense. Here it is hard to pin down what even the "specific coincidence" is. Your details will not be forwarded to any other party or used for marketing purposes. In an extreme rush, I reached for the phone book to look up a source as Chuck was hurrying by.                   I took my seat and a few moments later another person sat next to me. my college roommate has the exact same birthday as me and year. My dad died at 56 yrs old , I was 33 then. analysis would be to go through the 10,000+ cases and However, most of these similarities are uninteresting, whereas To help you recall the coincidences that have happened in your life, here’s a list of some common types of coincidence: If anything coincidental has happened to you - anything that made you stop and say "well, what were the chances of that..?" Title: two or three words that give a simple description of your story, eg ‘old friend’ or ‘birthday coincidence’ None were induced or planned. "how wide to cast our net?" Reviewing the draft I accidentally discovered the results of the phase-3 trial were being published in the same volume of the journal. so 3 thousand of which would be randomly assigned to the same judge.

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